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Hour in Review — 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC 21 sources
Election Day in the US dominated the hour, but the sharpest development came just before it: US airstrikes hit Iran's Qeshm Island hours ahead of the midterms 1. Washington described them as defensive strikes against Iranian sites near Hormuz 2, and they were the first US attack on the island since June . Diplomacy is running in parallel. Pezeshkian signalled more of it 3, and both sides are reviewing mediator proposals to prevent full-scale war 4. Trump said he is in no rush to decide whether to resume a major bombing campaign . Even so, officials have leaked potential plans for joint US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities after the midterms 5. Oil prices climbed after the strikes 6,7. Saudi Aramco reported a 34% rise in third-quarter net profit to $36.25 billion, supported by elevated oil prices offsetting supply disruptions from the Iran war 8. On the vote itself, Republicans hold 53 Senate seats and Democrats need a net gain of four 9, with all 435 House seats up 10. Readers should discount early tallies, which have run 4 to 9 points more Republican than final results since 2018 9. Democrats are poised to win the House despite a pre-election NBC poll showing only 29% of registered voters view the party positively versus 38% for Republicans 11. GOP candidates have also sharply cut mentions of Trump in their general-election ads 12. Election administration is its own front. A federal judge rejected an NAACP bid to stop the Justice Department from deploying federal law enforcement staff as poll monitors 13, while another judge barred the administration from demanding that California officials segregate ballots of suspected noncitizens . The administration has charged only 236 people with voting fraud offenses despite asserting widespread noncitizen voting 14. In Ukraine, Russia struck energy infrastructure in ten oblasts overnight 15, knocking three DTEK thermal power plants offline 16. Russian strikes also destroyed a Dnipro hospice, forcing the evacuation of nearly 50 terminally ill patients 17. The diplomatic calendar is filling at the same time. A Russian delegation led by Medinsky heads to Abu Dhabi on November 10-11 for trilateral talks 18, NATO confirmed a Brussels meeting on security guarantees for Ukraine 19, and Washington is readying a request for NATO allies to contribute more toward arms shipments 20. Elsewhere, eurozone governments must nominate Christine Lagarde's successor at the ECB by November 6, with Pablo Hernández de Cos and Klaas Knot the frontrunners 21.
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