Election eve dominates the hour, but the sharpest signals run across three tracks: the midterms, the Iran war and a record crypto breach. A day before the vote, Solicitor General D. John Sauer asked the Supreme Court to force California to separate mail ballots tied to over 20,000 suspected noncitizens, after a district judge and a divided 9th Circuit panel both refused ^1,2. Separately, a federal magistrate judge threw out charges against former FBI officials Nikki Floris and Bradley Benavides over the Hunter Biden laptop, saying the government's procedure could only be described as weaponization ^3,4. Michigan's Senate race turned acrimonious when Democrat Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers, and the state party chair said she is no longer a party member ⁵. Abdul El-Sayed raised $1.2 million after the endorsement ⁶ and leads Rogers 53% to 42% in a NYT/Siena poll ⁵. In Texas, Talarico leads Paxton 49% to 46.5% in the RealClearPolitics average ⁷. Iran overhangs the vote. Indirect talks in Doha ended after three days with no deal, with reports that Washington could resume strikes after the November 3 midterms ⁸. Even so, Brent slid more than 6.5% to as low as $105.55 on signs of a possible breakthrough ⁹, and crude fell over 7% on news that both sides are pursuing diplomacy ¹⁰. The Iranian Navy says a tanker caught fire after striking a naval mine east of the Strait of Hormuz . Vitol's CEO projects global oil demand falling about 3 million barrels a day in 2026 following the war ¹¹. In crypto, the record $6.3 billion Binance hack keeps rippling ¹². Binance says its recovery was funded entirely from its own balance sheet ¹³, and net customer outflows reached $4.6 billion ¹⁴. Tether froze over $1.5 billion of funds linked to the hack, which is attributed to North Korea ¹⁵, and Elliptic flagged the first mixing of the proceeds, about $2.2 million through coinjoins ¹⁶. On Ukraine, the Melania Trump-brokered Oleshky ceasefire ran from October 27 to November 1 ¹⁷. Ukrainian officials accused Russia of using it to reinforce positions ¹⁸, and the Kremlin ruled out similar operations for now ¹⁹. Zelenskyy reported 18 killed in a Russian strike on Komyshuvakha that hit an aid distribution point and a school ²⁰. Putin also ordered private data centres to reserve 10% of their capacity for the state ²¹. In AI and markets, Marvell agreed to buy Lumentum for $115 billion ²², Anthropic heads to its IPO with a $567 million operating loss ²³, and an AI selloff has left the S&P 500 about 4% below its peak ²⁴.