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Hour in Review — 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC0 sources
Global markets are balancing persistent energy market volatility stemming from the Strait of Hormuz standoff against anticipation for key U.S. inflation data. The IEA has quantified the economic fallout of the Hormuz disruption, projecting a 1.6 million barrel per day decline in 2026 global oil demand as persistent supply constraints keep prices elevated and weigh on investor sentiment across European indexes. This macro uncertainty coincides with divergent signals in the artificial intelligence sector; while infrastructure providers like Super Micro Computer and CoreWeave are buoyed by strong earnings and annual guidance—and Nvidia actively seeks financing to fund massive infrastructure buildouts—hedge funds have simultaneously increased short positions against AI-linked equities, suggesting growing skepticism. Corporate earnings releases further reflect this fragmented environment, as firms like ABN AMRO and Sampo report surging profits and upgraded guidance, while others, including TUI Group and CLS Holdings, face tangible headwinds from geopolitical costs and asset disposals. As the market monitors the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and awaits the CPI print, crypto assets also remain tethered to these broader economic forces, with XRP showing recovery from recent dips alongside reports of significant selling pressure exerted by public bitcoin miners.